Sometime last year, the majority leader of the National Assembly, Hon. Aden Duale issued a statement in reply to Raila’s claim that the jubilee was planning to steal the elections. In his statement, Duale said that the opposition was preparing their supporters psychologically for a terrible defeat in the general elections.
I had personally refuted the statement till last Friday when it dawned me that NASA would lose the elections. Despite gaining momentum by combining forces with Musalia Mudavadi, Gideon Moi, and Isaac Ruto, NASA will lose due to the following reasons:
- There is low voter registration turnout in their strongholds as compared to Jubilee’s strongholds. By Friday 10th, February 2017, the number of newly registered voters in Siaya County was slightly above 43,000 while in Meru County was above 120,000, a sign that NASA is likely to be beaten arms down.
- Cords reunion with Musalia Mudavadi only adds about 600,000 votes to NASA’s basket which is too less to enable them to win the elections.
- Support from Gideon Moi and Isaac Ruto is equivalent to nothing since the current political kingpin of the Rift Valley is William Ruto.
- In the history of East Africa, no sitting president has ever been defeated by the opposition team and definitely, Uhuru Kenyatta won’t give in to be the first so NASA should be preparing for 2022 general elections.
© Stephen M. Mutuku
With only 203 days to the general elections, the I.E.B.C has resumed its mass voter registration exercise and is targeting more than 6 million new voters. This has triggered actions by both cord and jubilee parties to mobilize people from their strongholds to register as voters so as to outwit each other in the august elections. This comes only a week after President Uhuru signed the controversial electoral laws amendment bill into a law, which allows the electoral commission to adopt a manual back-up as an alternative to the electronic voting system already stipulated in the law. The signing was done despite cord’s advice to the president not to sign the law since they claimed that the adoption of a manual system would allow the government to manipulate the I.E.B.C and rig the elections. Despite jubilee’s strongholds leading with the number of registered voters and expecting to gain more new voters in the exercise that commenced today morning hence rendering them as the favorites to win the elections, cord’s claims of a plan to rig the elections are justifiable. This can be seen through jubilee’s act of unveiling a smart card for their party members so as to ensure a credible nomination exercise while on the other hand using all means to make sure that the controversial electoral amendment bill passed claiming that the electronic voting system might fail, so their is a need for a manual back-up to tally and transmit the electoral results. This shows that jubilee is afraid of any disunity among its political aspirants hence it unveiled the smart card to ensure credible party nominations. Despite claiming that the I.E.B.C will conduct free and fair elections come august,one is left with questions hanging as to why JAP plans to use an electronic system in their party nominations while creating room for a manual system during the national elections. Why wouldn’t the government unveil a smart card for every registered voter to use in the elections instead of unveiling it for its party members only? This is a clear indication that jubilee might be planing to corrupt the electronic voting system to give room the manual system hence facilitate rigging of elections.